U.N. and African mediators announced on Tuesday that South Sudan’s president Salva Kiir and rebel leader Riek Machar have agreed to a ceasefire. A political agreement signaling a common desire to curb South Sudan’s internal turmoil made by these two political adversaries and erstwhile guerrilla allies is a major step toward preventing a much larger […]
Austin Bay
Austin Bay: Secrecy, privacy face uncertain future
Personal privacy is all but dead and gone, and we’re the worse for it, in my opinion. Privacy’s long goodbye began with Gutenburg. Though the invention of the printing press eventually gave us the gift of mass literacy, it also made gossip permanent. The camera gave paparazzi an anti-privacy weapon worth a thousand words. The […]
Austin Bay: Mandela: A legacy of reconciliation
At a diplomatic gathering in mid-November, some three weeks prior to Nelson Mandela’s death, Sri Lankan president Mahinda Rajapaksa approached South African president Jacob Zuma. According to The New Indian Express, Rajapaksa told Zuma he wanted to learn more about South Africa’s post-apartheid Truth and Reconciliation Commission. Four years after a controversial assault on a […]
Austin Bay: U.N. trying peacekeeping with fangs
The U.N. Security Council’s mandate authorizing French military intervention in the Central African Republic’s expanding civil war is one more indication that in sub-Saharan Africa’s chaotic corners, “peacekeeping with teeth” has become bottom line U.N. policy. Peacekeeping with teeth, hard peacekeeping and peace restoration are a few of the diplomatic euphemisms trotted out to camouflage […]
Austin Bay: Disputed islets test Pacific diplomacy
Vice-President Joe Biden’s strong reaffirmation of the U.S.-Japan alliance is better news following bad. The bad news is what made the American reaffirmation necessary: China’s latest act of “barbed wire diplomacy,” the extension of its Air Defense Identification Zone to include a disputed chain of Japanese-administered islets northwest of Okinawa. The Japanese call the disputed […]
Austin Bay: Individuals key to U.S. economic revival
High unemployment rates, which persist for years, slowly transform from difficult economic problems into multi-dimensional strategic decline. In the worst cases, decline fuels despair and creates the social conditions that spawn violent dictatorships. Since the early 1980s, several European countries have confronted structural unemployment. In a recent Moody’s Analytics report, economist Martin Janicko argues that […]
Austin Bay: The 1983 Euro-missile crisis: Last great battle of the Cold War?
Has anyone in President Barack Obama’s administration acknowledged, much less commemorated, the 30th anniversary of America’s telling victory in the Euro-missile Crisis of 1983, the last great media-political battle of the Cold War? As I write this column, an Internet search turns up … well, nothing. And the websites that I went to were working. […]
Austin Bay: America needs better, more trustworthy spies
Enhancing survival is the gut reason for spying. In the case of the United States, enhancing survival means reducing the likelihood that enemy surprise attacks like Pearl Harbor and 9/11 will succeed. America’s spies and its intelligence agencies stand between the American public and a nuclear 9/11. They stand between America and several thousand other […]
Austin Bay: NATO’s demise is anything but imminent
For over two decades, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization has defied the pundits who predict its imminent demise. Recent intra-NATO debates reveal the alliance adapting to 21st century needs and economic limitations. But the bottom line is NATO still matters, to Europe and the U.S., because an alliance coordinating the defense of democratic nations still […]
Austin Bay: Israel learned important lesson in 1973
The 1973 October War was the Arab-Israeli war Israel almost lost. Historians generally attribute Israel’s costly victory to two Israeli lapses, a successful enemy deception operation and a very astute Egyptian war plan. The lapses and enemy deception scheme still shape Israeli security policy, especially toward Iran and its nuclear weapons program. Israel’s first lapse […]